August has seen the unwinding of the seven-month rally in technology and digital stocks that, to varying degrees, lifted equities across most sectors this year. Stocks often struggle in the summer; but usually that means they are lethargic, not heading notably lower. What caused stocks to give up big parts of their year-to-date gains? AI mania drove much of the stock rally in the first half of the year. And in any stock-market mania, unbridled enthusiasm gives way to second-guessing at some point. Consumers and businesses show few signs of spending fatigue, contributing to inflation’s persistence. We think the difficulty in getting inflation down to the 2% target level, along with some buyers’ remorse on AI mania, has prompted investors to take profits.
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